Archivo diario: diciembre 31, 2006

The Worst Predictions of 2006

Satellite radio will rock, eBay‘s on a roll in China, and Republicans will continue to rule in Washington  

Karl Rove, Howard Stern, and eBay’s (EBAY) Meg Whitman weren’t just a little off about 2006. They were flat-out wrong. So were some housing analysts and government meteorologists. Now that the season for goodwill has passed, let’s gloat over some of the forecasts that fizzled.

PREDICTION: “We are on a tear to be the undisputed winner in China.” — eBay CEO Meg Whitman, Feb. 10, 2005

THE REALITY: In December, 2006, eBay said it would close its eBay operation in China and become instead the junior partner in a new Chinese e-commerce venture.

PREDICTION: “Satellite radio will succeed.…Trust me. With me, it’s a lock.” — Howard Stern, Dec. 22, 2005

THE REALITY: The stock of Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Stern’s new employer, is down more than 40% since he began broadcasting. In the first nine months of 2006, Sirius lost nearly $900 million.

PREDICTION: Patricia Dunn is “The clean-up queen of corporate governance” — Headline in The Age, Melbourne, Australia, Apr. 4, 2006

THE REALITY: On Oct. 5, Dunn, Hewlett-Packard’s (HPQ) former board chairman, was booked in California’s Santa Clara County on felony charges arising from HP’s alleged spying tactics in its investigation of boardroom leaks.

PREDICTION: “A very active hurricane season is looming.” — National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, May 22, 2006

THE REALITY: Of the up to six “major” hurricanes in the North Atlantic that were predicted by NOAA, only two materialized. Number that reached U.S. shores: zero.

PREDICTION: “It’s very clear to us that oil prices have peaked for this cycle.” — Bill Miller of Legg Mason (LM), Dec. 8, 2005

THE REALITY: Miller, the firm’s leading investor, said oil prices would reach $40 to $55 a barrel during the year. Instead, they hit $78 in 2006.

PREDICTION: The national median home price will rise about 6.1% in 2006. Over a full year, it “has never declined since good record-keeping began in 1968.” — National Association of Realtors, Dec. 12, 2005

THE REALITY: Through October, the median price of residential properties was down 3.5% from a year earlier.

PREDICTION: “It’s the definitive last chapter in the trial of the century.” — Fox Broadcasting (FOX) Executive Vice-President Mike Darnell, on O.J. Simpson’s book, If I Did It, Nov. 13, 2006

THE REALITY: It wasn’t the last chapter; it was the last straw. After a public uproar, News Corp. (NWS) Chief Executive Rupert Murdoch killed the book and fired its editor, Judith Regan.

PREDICTION: “Earnings disappointments will likely cause a more significant correction in equities at some point in 2006 than we have experienced in some time.” — Robert Doll, chief investment officer of Merrill Lynch (MER) Investment Managers, Jan. 10, 2006

THE REALITY: Corporate earnings reached their biggest share of gross domestic product since 1950, the market never “corrected,” and through Dec. 20, 2006, the S&P 500 stock index was up 14%.

PREDICTION: “There’s just not that many videos I want to watch.” — Steve Chen, co-founder of YouTube, worrying in March, 2005, about his startup’s potential popularity

THE REALITY: As Chen was expressing this anxiety, YouTube had roughly 50 videos available. Today more than 100 million are viewed daily on YouTube, which was acquired by Google (GOOG) on Nov. 14 for $1.65 billion.

PREDICTION: “I’m looking at all of these [polls]…and adding them up. I add up to a Republican Senate and a Republican House. You may end up with a different math, but you are entitled to your math, and I’m entitled to THE math.” — Presidential adviser Karl Rove, Oct. 24, 2006

THE REALITY: …was rather different.

by: Business Week


Álvaro Alonso – Médico y Postdoctorado por Harvard University




Conocí a Álvaro hace algo más de dos años cuando vivía en Boston. Álvaro es toda una referencia para todos los españoles que deciden ir a vivir a la cuidad de Nueva Inglaterra. A través de él se canalizan los partidos fútbol en el JFK Park de Cambridge…que luego se acaban convirtiendo en encuentros de amigos, gente para tomar copas o simplemente personas con la que hablar.


Álvaro es además de buen anfitrión, una persona culta, adaptada a la cultura americana y médico de profesión que tiene estudios  de “postdoctorado” en Harvard y lee habitualmente New Yorker. Además es buen bailador de salsa este simpático madrileño es una persona agradable para conversar y compartir alguna que otra cena.


De Álvaro he aprendido que hay que tener mente abierta y saber aceptar a las personas como son con sus singularidades, culturas y creencias religiosas.

Publicaciones  y libros relacionadas: 

New Yorker: Publicación de actualidad editada en New York de carácter plural y actual que combina desde temas relacionados con la economía, literatura, sociedad.



El CaminoMiguel delibes

Libro muy ameno en le que se describen personajes típicos de un pueblo cualquiera de
la España profunda que inevitablemente nos tendemos a identificar paralelismos con personas que conocemos.





Here are some predictions for 2007:

Predictions for 2007:

  • Google Stock Hits $1,000 per Share
  • Internet Traffic Doubles … to 5,000 petabits per day by the end of 2007. And 80 percent of it is peer-to-peer file sharing, mostly Skype video and BitTorrent.
  • BitTorrent on TiVo: Speaking of, digital video recorders get BitTorrent baked in, bringing internet video to the living room.
  • Spam Doubles: No-brainer — but no one cares because we’re all using IM, especially at work.
  • Second Life Ends a Life: Skullduggery in Second Life — probably digital adultery — ends in a real-life murder.
  • Year o’ the Laptop: Half of all new computers sold in 2007 will be laptops and 20 percent of those will be Apple‘s MacBooks.

  • Print to Web: A major newspaper gives up printing on paper to publish exclusively online.
  • Semel Says ‘Sayonara’: Yahoo CEO Terry Semel discovers he wants to spend more time with his family.
  • Apple Goes Apple: he entire Beatles catalog is licensed exclusively to iTunes for a year.
  • HD-DVD Wins: HD-DVD is the clear winner over Blu-ray in the DVD format wars. Oh yeah, and the PS3 is a bust.
  • Implantable Contact Lenses: Synthetic corneas will be approved by the Food and Drug Administration, allowing the shortsighted to have artificial contact lenses transplanted right into their eyes. No more popping out!
  • Digg Becomes the New Friendster: Digg holds out for a big payday but ends up like Friendster (i.e., no friends).
  • No More Dads: Artificial gametes made from female eggs are sold over the internet, making fathers biologically irrelevant.
  • PaedoSpace: Sex offenders start their own social networking service. It’s popular on Capitol Hill.
  • Life on Mars: One of the Mars rovers lasts another year on the red planet (making it four years total). The other plunges into a crater.

  • Greenland Becomes Green: As the ice melts, Greenland becomes literally green.
  • Raelians Need Not Apply: A human embryo is cloned for real.
  • First AT&T, Then Google: A whistle-blower reveals that the National Security Agency has been wiretapping Google for some time.
  • Google Goes G-Man: Google gives up search queries to the feds. Likely scenario: The FBI asks who’s been searching for terms like “dirty bomb” and Google hands over all the IP addresses.
  • Don’t Don’t Be Evil: Google drops “Don’t be evil” as its corporate mantra. Evil has its justifications, but no one likes a hypocrite.
  • DNA Database for Athletes: To stamp out doping, the Olympic Committee orders all athletes to submit DNA samples to a global database, which matches blood found in doping forensics to cheats. Forensics include needles, tubes, bags of blood and skin cells on stacks of 100-euro notes seized at doping clinics.
  • Online Sitcom Picked Up by Network: Encouraged by the news, the internet becomes home to 5,000 clones of Friends, shot by friends using their friends but unwatched even by their friends.
  • They’re Watching You: Congress passes a law requiring internet service providers to keep logs of all web traffic and e-mail for three years.
  • NYT Goes Free : The New York Times opens its archives from behind the paid firewall, realizing it’s more lucrative to be the internet’s paper of record than charging readers for individual stories. Thankfully, Thomas Friedman’s clichés and mixed metaphors remain behind the pay firewall for at least two weeks.
  • MySpace Spaces Out : MySpace splinters as teens head for niche sites. New services that control profiles across multiple social networking sites begin to take off.

 By: Wired

Un coche que se usa como el carro de la compra

Estamos frente a una era de cambios en el mundo de transporte, éstos también afectarán a los vehículos que utilizamos para trasladarnos por la cuidades. Con ciudades cada vez más congestionadas, contaminadas y necesitadas de más eficiencia energética se hace imprescindible innovar y como no… MIT ha vuelto a dar en el clavo con el urban car:

Características principales de este vehículo: 

– Con esta idea podremos alquilar un coche únicamente utilizando nuestra targeta de credito.

– Se incorpora el concepto de “coche compartido” como producto comodity.

– Podremos dejar el vehículo en cualquier lugar donde existan más coches como estos. Imaginad que en las principales estaciones de metro de Madrid existe un “repositorio” de estos coches.

– Lo que es más dirruptivo, este tipo de vehículo puede estar estacionado en fila ocupando mucho menos espacio que los coches convenciales.

– Es muy eficiente desde el punto de vista energético.

El MIT Urban Car posiblemente lo tendremos presente en nuestras calles en un par de años.